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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-19

Bristol City – Cardiff

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 25% 4.07 fair
Away 28% 3.63 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.3% → 47.9% -1.4 pp
Draw 24.9% → 24.6% -0.3 pp
Away 25.8% → 27.5% +1.8 pp
Over 2.5 49.8% → 53.5% +3.7 pp
Both teams to score 52.4% → 55.9% +3.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.67 → 2.82 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.06 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.69 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.9% 2.09 —
24.6% 4.07 —
27.5% 3.63 —
72.5% 1.38 —
52.1% 1.92 —
75.4% 1.33 —

Half-time result

36.5% 2.74 —
38.9% 2.57 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Half-time double chance

75.4% 1.33 —
63.5% 1.58 —
61.1% 1.64 —

Both halves

14.3% 7.01 —

HT/FT

29.8% 3.36 —
5.1% 19.8 —
15.2% 6.56 —
14.2% 7.03 —
9.4% 10.59 —
5.3% 18.8 —
16.4% 6.09 —

HT/FT double chance

64.3% 1.56 —
56.1% 1.78 —
30.4% 3.29 —
43.0% 2.33 —
50.7% 1.97 —
28.5% 3.51 —
37.6% 2.66 —
43.9% 2.28 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Total goals

94.0% 1.06 —
77.0% 1.3 —
53.5% 1.87 —
31.3% 3.19 —
23.0% 4.35 —
46.5% 2.15 —
68.7% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

73.7% 1.36 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Home team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
48.6% 2.06 —

Away team goals

69.4% 1.44 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Both to score

55.9% 1.79 —

Corners

73.6% 1.36 —
63.5% 1.57 —
52.6% 1.9 —
42.0% 2.38 —
32.6% 3.07 —
36.4% 2.74 —
47.4% 2.11 —
58.0% 1.72 —
67.4% 1.48 —

Home corners

74.6% 1.34 —
59.7% 1.67 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

63.4% 1.58 —
47.1% 2.12 —
32.4% 3.09 —

Cards

67.8% 1.47 —
48.1% 2.08 —
31.6% 3.16 —
19.1% 5.24 —
51.9% 1.93 —
68.4% 1.46 —
80.9% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds