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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-19

Birmingham – West Ham

Home 41% 2.44 fair
Draw 22% 4.57 fair
Away 37% 2.69 fair
Expected Goals3.69
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score71%
Over 2.571%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.9% → 41.0% +19.1 pp
Draw 20.2% → 21.9% +1.6 pp
Away 57.8% → 37.1% -20.7 pp
Over 2.5 65.7% → 70.9% +5.2 pp
Both teams to score 62.7% → 70.9% +8.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.38 → 3.69 +0.31
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.62 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.94 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.0% 2.44 —
21.9% 4.57 —
37.1% 2.69 —
62.9% 1.59 —
59.0% 1.69 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Half-time result

48.9% 2.04 —
28.6% 3.49 —
22.5% 4.45 —

Half-time double chance

77.5% 1.29 —
51.1% 1.96 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Both halves

10.0% 9.98 —

HT/FT

34.5% 2.9 —
9.2% 10.81 —
5.2% 19.31 —
5.7% 17.54 —
10.1% 9.94 —
12.9% 7.77 —
19.1% 5.24 —

HT/FT double chance

59.5% 1.68 —
58.2% 1.72 —
37.4% 2.68 —
47.1% 2.12 —
59.5% 1.68 —
36.1% 2.77 —
19.1% 5.23 —
38.5% 2.6 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Total goals

88.5% 1.13 —
70.9% 1.41 —
50.3% 1.99 —
11.5% 8.7 —
29.1% 3.44 —
49.7% 2.01 —

1st-half goals

88.2% 1.13 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Home team goals

84.9% 1.18 —
56.5% 1.77 —

Away team goals

83.6% 1.2 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Both to score

70.9% 1.41 —

Corners

77.9% 1.28 —
68.5% 1.46 —
58.1% 1.72 —
47.8% 2.09 —
37.8% 2.64 —
31.5% 3.17 —
41.9% 2.39 —
52.2% 1.92 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Home corners

75.7% 1.32 —
61.2% 1.63 —
46.6% 2.15 —

Away corners

69.0% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Cards

71.5% 1.4 —
53.2% 1.88 —
35.9% 2.78 —
22.1% 4.53 —
46.8% 2.14 —
64.0% 1.56 —
77.9% 1.28 —

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