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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-19

Leverkusen – Ein Frankfurt

Home 63% 1.58 fair
Draw 18% 5.51 fair
Away 19% 5.39 fair
Expected Goals3.91
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.574%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 66.4% → 63.3% -3.1 pp
Draw 16.9% → 18.1% +1.2 pp
Away 16.7% → 18.6% +1.9 pp
Over 2.5 74.8% → 74.5% -0.3 pp
Both teams to score 66.5% → 68.2% +1.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.9 → 3.91 +0.01
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.91
0
1
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7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.59 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.56 awaiting league sample
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9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.3% 1.58 —
18.1% 5.51 —
18.6% 5.39 —
81.4% 1.23 —
36.7% 2.72 —
81.8% 1.22 —

Half-time result

51.0% 1.96 —
28.9% 3.46 —
20.1% 4.98 —

Half-time double chance

79.9% 1.25 —
49.0% 2.04 —
71.1% 1.41 —

Both halves

26.1% 3.84 —

HT/FT

45.1% 2.22 —
4.5% 22.22 —
14.6% 6.83 —
8.8% 11.42 —
5.5% 18.05 —
3.6% 27.93 —
4.9% 20.49 —
11.6% 8.61 —

HT/FT double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
66.7% 1.5 —
20.2% 4.95 —
58.0% 1.72 —
61.7% 1.62 —
22.4% 4.46 —
31.9% 3.14 —
35.4% 2.83 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Total goals

90.0% 1.11 —
74.5% 1.34 —
54.6% 1.83 —
10.0% 10.03 —
25.5% 3.92 —
45.4% 2.2 —

1st-half goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.1% 1.66 —

Home team goals

92.2% 1.08 —
72.3% 1.38 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.3% 2.55 —

Both to score

68.2% 1.47 —

Corners

69.8% 1.43 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.4% 2.11 —
36.9% 2.71 —
27.5% 3.64 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.6% 1.9 —
63.1% 1.58 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

81.4% 1.23 —
68.5% 1.46 —
54.2% 1.85 —

Away corners

43.8% 2.28 —
27.1% 3.68 —
15.5% 6.45 —

Cards

77.7% 1.29 —
61.9% 1.62 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.6% 3.17 —
38.1% 2.62 —
54.5% 1.84 —
68.5% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds