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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-19

Augsburg – Paderborn

Home 44% 2.27 fair
Draw 29% 3.49 fair
Away 27% 3.67 fair
Expected Goals2.13
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.536%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.9% → 44.1% -4.8 pp
Draw 27.0% → 28.6% +1.7 pp
Away 24.1% → 27.3% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 42.4% → 36.1% -6.3 pp
Both teams to score 46.5% → 41.5% -5.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.13 -0.25
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.97 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.68 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.1% 2.27 —
28.6% 3.49 —
27.3% 3.67 —
72.7% 1.38 —
55.9% 1.79 —
71.4% 1.4 —

Half-time result

22.8% 4.39 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Half-time double chance

68.3% 1.46 —
77.2% 1.3 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Both halves

10.3% 9.72 —

HT/FT

20.3% 4.92 —
20.1% 4.98 —
19.0% 5.27 —
6.4% 15.6 —
3.7% 27.17 —
7.6% 13.23 —
20.5% 4.88 —

HT/FT double chance

61.5% 1.63 —
47.2% 2.12 —
27.9% 3.59 —
33.7% 2.97 —
44.9% 2.23 —
30.5% 3.28 —
50.3% 1.99 —
50.7% 1.97 —
53.4% 1.87 —

Total goals

88.1% 1.13 —
62.7% 1.59 —
36.1% 2.77 —
16.7% 6.0 —
37.3% 2.68 —
63.9% 1.57 —
83.3% 1.2 —

1st-half goals

64.5% 1.55 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Home team goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Away team goals

59.1% 1.69 —
22.7% 4.4 —

Both to score

41.5% 2.41 —

Corners

73.5% 1.36 —
62.8% 1.59 —
51.5% 1.94 —
41.4% 2.42 —
31.9% 3.14 —
37.2% 2.69 —
48.4% 2.06 —
58.6% 1.71 —
68.1% 1.47 —

Home corners

74.9% 1.34 —
60.4% 1.66 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

62.4% 1.6 —
46.0% 2.17 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Cards

67.1% 1.49 —
48.0% 2.08 —
31.6% 3.17 —
19.5% 5.12 —
52.0% 1.92 —
68.5% 1.46 —
80.5% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds