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Fixtures / Scotland L2 / 2026-12-12

Dumbarton – Kelty Hearts

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 27% 3.64 fair
Expected Goals3.01
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.3% → 49.0% -2.2 pp
Draw 22.6% → 23.5% +0.9 pp
Away 26.1% → 27.5% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 62.9% → 58.1% -4.8 pp
Both teams to score 62.7% → 59.2% -3.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.26 → 3.01 -0.25
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.1 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.12 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.0% 2.04 —
23.5% 4.26 —
27.5% 3.64 —
72.5% 1.38 —
50.9% 1.96 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.32 —
38.3% 2.61 —
31.5% 3.17 —

Half-time double chance

68.5% 1.46 —
69.9% 1.43 —
61.7% 1.62 —

Both halves

14.5% 6.92 —

HT/FT

25.7% 3.9 —
3.5% 28.99 —
18.5% 5.41 —
12.9% 7.78 —
7.0% 14.31 —
4.9% 20.37 —
7.2% 13.95 —
19.4% 5.14 —

HT/FT double chance

60.5% 1.65 —
52.1% 1.92 —
24.3% 4.11 —
41.2% 2.43 —
51.0% 1.96 —
31.1% 3.22 —
43.4% 2.3 —
49.9% 2.01 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.4% 1.24 —
58.1% 1.72 —
35.5% 2.82 —
19.6% 5.09 —
41.9% 2.38 —
64.5% 1.55 —

1st-half goals

75.3% 1.33 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Home team goals

82.6% 1.21 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Away team goals

71.7% 1.39 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Both to score

59.2% 1.69 —

Corners

75.0% 1.33 —
64.4% 1.55 —
53.3% 1.88 —
42.4% 2.36 —
32.7% 3.06 —
35.6% 2.81 —
46.7% 2.14 —
57.6% 1.74 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Home corners

73.6% 1.36 —
58.1% 1.72 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Away corners

67.0% 1.49 —
50.6% 1.98 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Cards

74.9% 1.34 —
56.7% 1.76 —
39.0% 2.56 —
24.8% 4.03 —
43.3% 2.31 —
61.0% 1.64 —
75.2% 1.33 —

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