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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-12-12

Dunfermline – Stenhousemuir

Home 43% 2.34 fair
Draw 30% 3.33 fair
Away 27% 3.67 fair
Expected Goals2.07
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.534%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 14.6% → 42.7% +28.1 pp
Draw 34.2% → 30.0% -4.2 pp
Away 51.1% → 27.3% -23.9 pp
Over 2.5 20.8% → 34.0% +13.2 pp
Both teams to score 24.2% → 40.7% +16.5 pp
Expected Goals 1.55 → 2.07 +0.52
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.0 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.7% 2.34 —
30.0% 3.33 —
27.3% 3.67 —
72.7% 1.37 —
57.3% 1.75 —
70.0% 1.43 —

Half-time result

28.9% 3.46 —
46.5% 2.15 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Half-time double chance

75.4% 1.33 —
71.1% 1.41 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Both halves

10.3% 9.66 —

HT/FT

24.3% 4.12 —
3.8% 26.39 —
16.4% 6.08 —
21.1% 4.75 —
9.0% 11.07 —
5.2% 19.31 —
17.4% 5.75 —

HT/FT double chance

65.6% 1.53 —
50.6% 1.98 —
34.7% 2.88 —
35.2% 2.84 —
44.5% 2.25 —
27.2% 3.68 —
44.7% 2.24 —
44.9% 2.23 —
52.6% 1.9 —

Total goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.8% 1.64 —
34.0% 2.94 —
15.8% 6.34 —
39.2% 2.55 —
66.0% 1.51 —
84.2% 1.19 —

1st-half goals

63.7% 1.57 —
27.5% 3.63 —

Home team goals

69.4% 1.44 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Away team goals

58.3% 1.72 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Both to score

40.7% 2.46 —

Corners

70.5% 1.42 —
60.8% 1.65 —
50.7% 1.97 —
41.3% 2.42 —
32.5% 3.08 —
39.2% 2.55 —
49.2% 2.03 —
58.7% 1.7 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

74.8% 1.34 —
61.3% 1.63 —
48.0% 2.08 —

Away corners

57.0% 1.75 —
41.2% 2.43 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Cards

72.3% 1.38 —
55.0% 1.82 —
38.4% 2.61 —
25.0% 4.0 —
45.0% 2.22 —
61.7% 1.62 —
75.0% 1.33 —

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