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Fixtures / Scotland Champ / 2026-12-12

Ayr – Livingston

Home 24% 4.25 fair
Draw 27% 3.64 fair
Away 49% 2.04 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.3% → 23.5% -4.7 pp
Draw 26.3% → 27.5% +1.2 pp
Away 45.5% → 49.0% +3.5 pp
Over 2.5 45.9% → 41.7% -4.1 pp
Both teams to score 49.9% → 45.7% -4.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.35 -0.16
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.81 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.84 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.5% 4.25 —
27.5% 3.64 —
49.0% 2.04 —
51.0% 1.96 —
76.5% 1.31 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Half-time result

25.5% 3.92 —
40.5% 2.47 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Half-time double chance

66.0% 1.51 —
74.5% 1.34 —
59.5% 1.68 —

Both halves

3.8% 26.39 —

HT/FT

16.8% 5.95 —
6.0% 16.75 —
6.2% 16.26 —
18.2% 5.48 —
16.2% 6.19 —
3.2% 30.86 —
30.1% 3.32 —

HT/FT double chance

47.2% 2.12 —
41.8% 2.39 —
43.1% 2.32 —
26.6% 3.76 —
50.2% 1.99 —
42.1% 2.38 —
28.2% 3.54 —
53.0% 1.89 —
67.8% 1.48 —

Total goals

89.7% 1.11 —
67.2% 1.49 —
41.7% 2.4 —
21.8% 4.58 —
32.8% 3.05 —
58.3% 1.72 —
78.2% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

71.9% 1.39 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Home team goals

59.7% 1.67 —
23.3% 4.29 —

Away team goals

75.7% 1.32 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Both to score

45.7% 2.19 —

Corners

69.3% 1.44 —
59.1% 1.69 —
49.1% 2.04 —
39.5% 2.53 —
31.1% 3.22 —
40.9% 2.45 —
50.9% 1.96 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Home corners

65.9% 1.52 —
51.2% 1.95 —
37.5% 2.67 —

Away corners

65.3% 1.53 —
50.0% 2.0 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Cards

80.7% 1.24 —
65.4% 1.53 —
50.2% 1.99 —
35.7% 2.8 —
34.6% 2.89 —
49.8% 2.01 —
64.3% 1.56 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds