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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-12

Notts County – Plymouth

Home 38% 2.62 fair
Draw 27% 3.68 fair
Away 35% 2.89 fair
Expected Goals2.47
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 24.3% → 38.2% +13.9 pp
Draw 24.5% → 27.2% +2.6 pp
Away 51.2% → 34.6% -16.6 pp
Over 2.5 48.3% → 45.3% -3.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.6% → 50.9% +0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.59 → 2.47 -0.12
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.11 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.2% 2.62 —
27.2% 3.68 —
34.6% 2.89 —
65.4% 1.53 —
61.8% 1.62 —
72.8% 1.37 —

Half-time result

30.5% 3.28 —
44.6% 2.24 —
24.8% 4.03 —

Half-time double chance

75.2% 1.33 —
69.5% 1.44 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Both halves

8.9% 11.26 —

HT/FT

22.7% 4.4 —
5.5% 18.05 —
13.8% 7.26 —
17.1% 5.85 —
13.8% 7.26 —
4.5% 22.03 —
18.6% 5.39 —

HT/FT double chance

59.2% 1.69 —
52.5% 1.9 —
38.6% 2.59 —
34.5% 2.9 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.9% 3.24 —
37.1% 2.69 —
47.9% 2.09 —
54.0% 1.85 —

Total goals

91.5% 1.09 —
70.9% 1.41 —
45.3% 2.21 —
23.6% 4.24 —
29.1% 3.43 —
54.7% 1.83 —
76.4% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.1% 3.43 —

Home team goals

72.4% 1.38 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Away team goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Both to score

50.9% 1.97 —

Corners

76.1% 1.31 —
66.7% 1.5 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.4% 2.15 —
36.9% 2.71 —
33.3% 3.0 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.5% 1.87 —
63.1% 1.59 —

Home corners

72.6% 1.38 —
58.1% 1.72 —
43.4% 2.31 —

Away corners

69.0% 1.45 —
53.8% 1.86 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Cards

84.0% 1.19 —
70.7% 1.41 —
55.1% 1.81 —
40.0% 2.5 —
29.3% 3.41 —
44.9% 2.23 —
60.0% 1.67 —

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