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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-12

Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge

Home 51% 1.97 fair
Draw 23% 4.32 fair
Away 26% 3.84 fair
Expected Goals2.99
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.8% → 50.8% +16.0 pp
Draw 27.0% → 23.2% -3.8 pp
Away 38.2% → 26.0% -12.2 pp
Over 2.5 44.7% → 57.4% +12.7 pp
Both teams to score 50.4% → 58.5% +8.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.48 → 2.99 +0.51
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.74 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.68 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.8% 1.97 —
23.2% 4.32 —
26.0% 3.84 —
74.0% 1.35 —
49.2% 2.03 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.91 —
49.3% 2.03 —
16.3% 6.13 —

Half-time double chance

83.7% 1.2 —
65.6% 1.52 —
50.7% 1.97 —

Both halves

14.8% 6.73 —

HT/FT

26.7% 3.75 —
5.0% 20.08 —
21.3% 4.69 —
14.5% 6.9 —
13.5% 7.4 —
3.7% 27.1 —
9.8% 10.17 —

HT/FT double chance

67.5% 1.48 —
64.2% 1.56 —
35.7% 2.8 —
38.1% 2.62 —
42.0% 2.38 —
21.2% 4.72 —
42.3% 2.36 —
47.5% 2.11 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Total goals

95.0% 1.05 —
80.1% 1.25 —
57.4% 1.74 —
34.8% 2.88 —
19.9% 5.02 —
42.6% 2.35 —
65.2% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

58.5% 1.71 —
22.2% 4.5 —

Home team goals

83.5% 1.2 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Away team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Both to score

58.5% 1.71 —

Corners

78.2% 1.28 —
68.8% 1.45 —
59.0% 1.69 —
48.9% 2.04 —
39.8% 2.51 —
31.2% 3.21 —
41.0% 2.44 —
51.1% 1.96 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Home corners

71.3% 1.4 —
56.5% 1.77 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Away corners

73.4% 1.36 —
59.1% 1.69 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Cards

67.7% 1.48 —
47.8% 2.09 —
31.2% 3.21 —
18.6% 5.38 —
52.1% 1.92 —
68.8% 1.45 —
81.4% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds