Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-12
Luton – Wigan
Home
57%
1.76 fair
Draw
24%
4.21 fair
Away
19%
5.19 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.0%
→
56.9%
+2.9 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
23.8%
-0.9 pp
Away
21.3%
→
19.3%
-2.0 pp
Over 2.5
47.9%
→
47.2%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
48.9%
→
46.7%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.58 →
2.57
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.75 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.04 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.03 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Total goals
| 92.1% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.62 | — |
Both to score
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — |
Away corners
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Cards
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds