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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-12

Burton – Reading

Home 30% 3.39 fair
Draw 26% 3.81 fair
Away 44% 2.26 fair
Expected Goals2.6
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.0% → 29.5% +0.5 pp
Draw 25.0% → 26.3% +1.2 pp
Away 46.0% → 44.2% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 51.6% → 48.6% -3.0 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 52.7% -2.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.74 → 2.6 -0.14
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.51 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.5% 3.39 —
26.3% 3.81 —
44.2% 2.26 —
55.8% 1.79 —
70.5% 1.42 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

22.5% 4.44 —
45.4% 2.2 —
32.1% 3.12 —

Half-time double chance

67.9% 1.47 —
77.5% 1.29 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.03 —

HT/FT

15.4% 6.49 —
4.6% 21.79 —
12.1% 8.26 —
16.4% 6.09 —
16.9% 5.92 —
5.3% 19.01 —
24.8% 4.03 —

HT/FT double chance

48.5% 2.06 —
46.9% 2.13 —
40.4% 2.47 —
27.2% 3.67 —
44.7% 2.24 —
37.2% 2.69 —
35.8% 2.79 —
55.8% 1.79 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Total goals

92.3% 1.08 —
73.6% 1.36 —
48.6% 2.06 —
26.4% 3.79 —
26.4% 3.79 —
51.4% 1.94 —
73.7% 1.36 —

1st-half goals

64.1% 1.56 —
27.2% 3.68 —

Home team goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Away team goals

76.8% 1.3 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Both to score

52.7% 1.9 —

Corners

66.1% 1.51 —
54.9% 1.82 —
43.9% 2.28 —
34.2% 2.92 —
25.6% 3.91 —
45.1% 2.22 —
56.1% 1.78 —
65.8% 1.52 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Home corners

67.1% 1.49 —
51.8% 1.93 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Away corners

58.1% 1.72 —
42.0% 2.38 —
28.4% 3.52 —

Cards

65.0% 1.54 —
45.2% 2.21 —
28.3% 3.53 —
16.2% 6.17 —
54.8% 1.82 —
71.7% 1.4 —
83.8% 1.19 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds