Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-12
Burton – Reading
Home
30%
3.39 fair
Draw
26%
3.81 fair
Away
44%
2.26 fair
Expected Goals2.6
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.0%
→
29.5%
+0.5 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
26.3%
+1.2 pp
Away
46.0%
→
44.2%
-1.8 pp
Over 2.5
51.6%
→
48.6%
-3.0 pp
Both teams to score
54.9%
→
52.7%
-2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.74 →
2.6
-0.14
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Both halves
| 6.2% | 16.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 19.01 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Away corners
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Cards
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds