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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-12

Ipswich – Newcastle

Home 24% 4.12 fair
Draw 20% 4.9 fair
Away 55% 1.81 fair
Expected Goals3.53
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.5% → 24.2% +3.7 pp
Draw 19.4% → 20.4% +1.0 pp
Away 60.0% → 55.3% -4.7 pp
Over 2.5 69.7% → 68.6% -1.1 pp
Both teams to score 64.9% → 66.1% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.6 → 3.53 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.03 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

24.2% 4.12 —
20.4% 4.9 —
55.3% 1.81 —
44.7% 2.24 —
75.8% 1.32 —
79.6% 1.26 —

Half-time result

23.8% 4.19 —
31.8% 3.14 —
44.3% 2.26 —

Half-time double chance

55.7% 1.8 —
76.1% 1.31 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Both halves

5.1% 19.61 —

HT/FT

15.4% 6.49 —
5.3% 18.87 —
3.1% 31.85 —
7.1% 14.03 —
10.4% 9.6 —
14.3% 7.01 —
4.7% 21.28 —
37.9% 2.64 —

HT/FT double chance

38.3% 2.61 —
40.0% 2.5 —
33.1% 3.02 —
27.1% 3.69 —
58.2% 1.72 —
51.1% 1.96 —
24.0% 4.17 —
61.0% 1.64 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Total goals

96.9% 1.03 —
86.4% 1.16 —
68.6% 1.46 —
46.7% 2.14 —
13.6% 7.36 —
31.4% 3.18 —
53.3% 1.88 —

1st-half goals

84.0% 1.19 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Home team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Away team goals

88.1% 1.14 —
63.2% 1.58 —

Both to score

66.1% 1.51 —

Corners

73.1% 1.37 —
62.9% 1.59 —
52.0% 1.92 —
41.6% 2.4 —
32.5% 3.08 —
37.1% 2.7 —
47.9% 2.09 —
58.4% 1.71 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

59.2% 1.69 —
42.4% 2.36 —
28.1% 3.55 —

Away corners

76.2% 1.31 —
62.4% 1.6 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Cards

76.4% 1.31 —
59.6% 1.68 —
43.3% 2.31 —
29.2% 3.42 —
40.4% 2.47 —
56.7% 1.76 —
70.8% 1.41 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds