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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-12

Sheffield United – Burnley

Home 39% 2.53 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 35% 2.89 fair
Expected Goals2.63
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.9% → 39.5% +9.6 pp
Draw 28.2% → 26.0% -2.2 pp
Away 41.9% → 34.6% -7.4 pp
Over 2.5 42.1% → 48.9% +6.8 pp
Both teams to score 48.0% → 53.2% +5.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.63 +0.27
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.82 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.23 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.5% 2.53 —
26.0% 3.85 —
34.6% 2.89 —
65.4% 1.53 —
60.5% 1.65 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

28.6% 3.5 —
40.7% 2.46 —
30.7% 3.26 —

Half-time double chance

69.3% 1.44 —
71.4% 1.4 —
59.3% 1.69 —

Both halves

9.8% 10.16 —

HT/FT

22.7% 4.42 —
4.3% 22.99 —
14.1% 7.07 —
15.8% 6.32 —
10.7% 9.33 —
5.8% 17.3 —
22.2% 4.5 —

HT/FT double chance

57.0% 1.76 —
49.1% 2.04 —
32.5% 3.08 —
35.5% 2.82 —
49.2% 2.03 —
34.0% 2.94 —
38.4% 2.6 —
49.8% 2.01 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
73.6% 1.36 —
48.9% 2.05 —
27.0% 3.7 —
26.4% 3.78 —
51.1% 1.96 —
73.0% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

72.0% 1.39 —
36.6% 2.74 —

Home team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Away team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Both to score

53.2% 1.88 —

Corners

71.9% 1.39 —
61.3% 1.63 —
50.1% 2.0 —
39.5% 2.53 —
30.3% 3.3 —
38.7% 2.59 —
49.9% 2.0 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.7% 1.43 —

Home corners

72.9% 1.37 —
57.9% 1.73 —
43.6% 2.29 —

Away corners

61.6% 1.62 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Cards

75.5% 1.32 —
58.2% 1.72 —
40.7% 2.46 —
26.5% 3.78 —
41.8% 2.39 —
59.3% 1.69 —
73.6% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds