Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-12
Cardiff – Southampton
Home
24%
4.11 fair
Draw
21%
4.71 fair
Away
54%
1.84 fair
Expected Goals3.32
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.4%
→
24.3%
+4.0 pp
Draw
21.1%
→
21.2%
+0.1 pp
Away
58.5%
→
54.4%
-4.1 pp
Over 2.5
62.1%
→
64.5%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
60.1%
→
63.0%
+2.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.22 →
3.32
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.1% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 5.4% | 18.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.9% | 6.71 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.86 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.14 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.64 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
Both to score
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Away corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds