Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-12
Blackburn – Derby
Home
43%
2.33 fair
Draw
28%
3.62 fair
Away
29%
3.4 fair
Expected Goals2.39
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
39.1%
→
42.9%
+3.8 pp
Draw
27.9%
→
27.6%
-0.3 pp
Away
33.0%
→
29.4%
-3.6 pp
Over 2.5
40.5%
→
42.9%
+2.4 pp
Both teams to score
46.9%
→
48.2%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.3 →
2.39
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.35 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.22 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.74 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Total goals
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — |
Both to score
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Corners
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Away corners
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Cards
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds