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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-12

QPR – Watford

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 26% 3.8 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.5% → 47.8% +3.3 pp
Draw 27.2% → 25.8% -1.3 pp
Away 28.3% → 26.3% -2.0 pp
Over 2.5 44.4% → 47.0% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 49.5% → 50.4% +0.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.46 → 2.55 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.05 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.49 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.8% 2.09 —
25.8% 3.87 —
26.3% 3.8 —
73.7% 1.36 —
52.2% 1.92 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

42.4% 2.36 —
38.4% 2.6 —
19.1% 5.22 —

Half-time double chance

80.9% 1.24 —
57.6% 1.74 —
61.6% 1.62 —

Both halves

13.6% 7.34 —

HT/FT

34.2% 2.93 —
6.4% 15.65 —
12.2% 8.16 —
15.9% 6.3 —
10.3% 9.73 —
3.6% 28.01 —
14.2% 7.06 —

HT/FT double chance

68.7% 1.46 —
58.6% 1.71 —
34.4% 2.9 —
45.5% 2.2 —
51.6% 1.94 —
26.0% 3.84 —
33.1% 3.02 —
38.1% 2.62 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Total goals

92.0% 1.09 —
72.1% 1.39 —
47.0% 2.13 —
25.6% 3.91 —
27.9% 3.58 —
53.0% 1.89 —
74.4% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

73.2% 1.37 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Home team goals

77.7% 1.29 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Away team goals

64.7% 1.55 —
28.2% 3.54 —

Both to score

50.4% 1.98 —

Corners

73.5% 1.36 —
63.0% 1.59 —
52.3% 1.91 —
41.9% 2.39 —
32.5% 3.07 —
37.0% 2.7 —
47.7% 2.1 —
58.1% 1.72 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

77.2% 1.29 —
63.6% 1.57 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Away corners

58.8% 1.7 —
41.4% 2.41 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Cards

78.3% 1.28 —
62.2% 1.61 —
45.1% 2.22 —
30.4% 3.29 —
37.9% 2.64 —
54.9% 1.82 —
69.6% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds