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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-11

Bolton – Wrexham

Home 33% 3.01 fair
Draw 23% 4.39 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
Expected Goals3.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 31.6% → 33.2% +1.6 pp
Draw 22.9% → 22.8% -0.1 pp
Away 45.6% → 44.1% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 65.4% → 63.2% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 66.1% → 63.8% -2.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.39 → 3.26 -0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.37 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.2% 3.01 —
22.8% 4.39 —
44.1% 2.27 —
55.9% 1.79 —
66.8% 1.5 —
77.2% 1.3 —

Half-time result

40.6% 2.47 —
35.3% 2.83 —
24.1% 4.14 —

Half-time double chance

75.9% 1.32 —
59.5% 1.68 —
64.7% 1.55 —

Both halves

7.9% 12.64 —

HT/FT

25.8% 3.88 —
8.5% 11.81 —
6.3% 15.9 —
6.5% 15.36 —
11.7% 8.56 —
17.1% 5.84 —
20.6% 4.84 —

HT/FT double chance

52.4% 1.91 —
55.7% 1.79 —
43.5% 2.3 —
37.8% 2.65 —
53.6% 1.87 —
38.0% 2.63 —
21.7% 4.61 —
45.1% 2.22 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
83.2% 1.2 —
63.2% 1.58 —
41.6% 2.4 —
16.8% 5.96 —
36.8% 2.72 —
58.4% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

78.8% 1.27 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Home team goals

77.4% 1.29 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Away team goals

82.4% 1.21 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Both to score

63.8% 1.57 —

Corners

74.0% 1.35 —
63.6% 1.57 —
52.9% 1.89 —
42.5% 2.36 —
32.7% 3.06 —
36.4% 2.75 —
47.0% 2.13 —
57.5% 1.74 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Home corners

77.3% 1.29 —
63.4% 1.58 —
48.6% 2.06 —

Away corners

59.9% 1.67 —
42.5% 2.35 —
28.2% 3.55 —

Cards

62.5% 1.6 —
42.5% 2.35 —
26.1% 3.84 —
14.6% 6.84 —
57.5% 1.74 —
73.9% 1.35 —
85.4% 1.17 —

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