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Fixtures / League One / 2026-12-10

Leicester – Sheffield Weds

Home 33% 3.01 fair
Draw 24% 4.11 fair
Away 42% 2.36 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 19.7% → 33.2% +13.5 pp
Draw 24.1% → 24.3% +0.3 pp
Away 56.2% → 42.4% -13.8 pp
Over 2.5 47.8% → 58.4% +10.6 pp
Both teams to score 48.6% → 60.6% +12.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.59 → 3.05 +0.46
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.96 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.08 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.2% 3.01 —
24.3% 4.11 —
42.4% 2.36 —
57.6% 1.74 —
66.8% 1.5 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Half-time result

27.5% 3.64 —
35.6% 2.81 —
37.0% 2.71 —

Half-time double chance

63.1% 1.59 —
72.5% 1.38 —
64.4% 1.55 —

Both halves

8.5% 11.82 —

HT/FT

20.7% 4.84 —
4.7% 21.14 —
10.2% 9.78 —
13.6% 7.37 —
11.8% 8.47 —
6.0% 16.53 —
28.5% 3.5 —

HT/FT double chance

49.2% 2.03 —
44.8% 2.23 —
32.2% 3.11 —
33.8% 2.96 —
53.6% 1.86 —
41.4% 2.42 —
32.2% 3.11 —
52.9% 1.89 —
60.0% 1.67 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.6% 1.24 —
58.4% 1.71 —
36.5% 2.74 —
19.4% 5.17 —
41.6% 2.41 —
63.5% 1.57 —

1st-half goals

79.3% 1.26 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Home team goals

75.7% 1.32 —
41.8% 2.39 —

Away team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.4% 2.07 —

Both to score

60.6% 1.65 —

Corners

85.2% 1.17 —
77.8% 1.29 —
69.3% 1.44 —
60.0% 1.67 —
50.7% 1.97 —
22.2% 4.5 —
30.6% 3.26 —
40.0% 2.5 —
49.3% 2.03 —

Home corners

82.8% 1.21 —
71.4% 1.4 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Away corners

72.2% 1.38 —
57.8% 1.73 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Cards

73.2% 1.37 —
55.2% 1.81 —
38.3% 2.61 —
24.2% 4.12 —
44.8% 2.23 —
61.7% 1.62 —
75.8% 1.32 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds