Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-09
Southampton – Burnley
Home
52%
1.92 fair
Draw
23%
4.29 fair
Away
25%
4.06 fair
Expected Goals2.99
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.3%
→
52.0%
+9.7 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
23.3%
-1.9 pp
Away
32.4%
→
24.6%
-7.8 pp
Over 2.5
52.0%
→
57.9%
+5.9 pp
Both teams to score
55.7%
→
57.8%
+2.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.76 →
2.99
+0.23
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 16.4% | 6.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.32 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.05 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Cards
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds