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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-08

Kidderminster – Carlisle

Home 26% 3.8 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 46% 2.2 fair
Expected Goals2.19
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.5% → 26.3% -2.1 pp
Draw 27.0% → 28.1% +1.2 pp
Away 44.6% → 45.5% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 44.7% → 38.0% -6.7 pp
Both teams to score 49.4% → 43.3% -6.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.46 → 2.19 -0.27
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.41 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.3% 3.8 —
28.1% 3.55 —
45.5% 2.2 —
54.5% 1.84 —
73.7% 1.36 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

17.4% 5.74 —
40.5% 2.47 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Half-time double chance

58.0% 1.73 —
82.6% 1.21 —
59.5% 1.68 —

Both halves

4.7% 21.23 —

HT/FT

13.4% 7.44 —
3.1% 32.36 —
11.0% 9.07 —
18.8% 5.32 —
10.7% 9.34 —
6.2% 16.0 —
33.9% 2.95 —

HT/FT double chance

46.4% 2.16 —
36.1% 2.77 —
33.5% 2.98 —
24.6% 4.06 —
50.1% 2.0 —
44.1% 2.27 —
38.0% 2.64 —
57.5% 1.74 —
69.7% 1.44 —

Total goals

88.8% 1.13 —
64.3% 1.56 —
38.0% 2.63 —
18.0% 5.55 —
35.7% 2.8 —
62.0% 1.61 —
82.0% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

69.9% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Home team goals

59.6% 1.68 —
23.1% 4.34 —

Away team goals

72.5% 1.38 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Both to score

43.3% 2.31 —

Corners

71.8% 1.39 —
60.5% 1.65 —
48.6% 2.06 —
37.3% 2.68 —
27.5% 3.64 —
39.5% 2.53 —
51.4% 1.95 —
62.7% 1.6 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

65.8% 1.52 —
48.5% 2.06 —
32.3% 3.1 —

Away corners

70.8% 1.41 —
54.0% 1.85 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Cards

78.0% 1.28 —
61.1% 1.64 —
43.6% 2.29 —
29.2% 3.42 —
39.0% 2.57 —
56.4% 1.77 —
70.8% 1.41 —

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