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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-08

West Ham – Middlesbrough

Home 54% 1.86 fair
Draw 19% 5.23 fair
Away 27% 3.68 fair
Expected Goals4.11
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score74%
Over 2.578%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 67.1% → 53.7% -13.3 pp
Draw 16.4% → 19.1% +2.8 pp
Away 16.6% → 27.2% +10.6 pp
Over 2.5 79.8% → 77.6% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 71.6% → 74.1% +2.5 pp
Expected Goals 4.3 → 4.11 -0.19
Most Likely Score 3-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.64 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.7% 1.86 —
19.1% 5.23 —
27.2% 3.68 —
72.9% 1.37 —
46.3% 2.16 —
80.9% 1.24 —

Half-time result

26.5% 3.77 —
32.2% 3.11 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Half-time double chance

58.7% 1.7 —
73.5% 1.36 —
67.8% 1.47 —

Both halves

16.2% 6.19 —

HT/FT

23.7% 4.22 —
19.7% 5.07 —
7.9% 12.66 —
4.5% 22.03 —
10.3% 9.72 —
9.1% 10.94 —
21.9% 4.58 —

HT/FT double chance

53.4% 1.87 —
48.7% 2.05 —
15.3% 6.54 —
45.2% 2.21 —
56.6% 1.77 —
33.9% 2.95 —
47.1% 2.12 —
56.4% 1.77 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Total goals

91.3% 1.1 —
77.6% 1.29 —
58.5% 1.71 —
8.7% 11.45 —
22.4% 4.46 —
41.5% 2.41 —

1st-half goals

84.3% 1.19 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Home team goals

90.9% 1.1 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Away team goals

81.7% 1.22 —
50.9% 1.97 —

Both to score

74.1% 1.35 —

Corners

81.7% 1.22 —
73.3% 1.36 —
63.7% 1.57 —
53.7% 1.86 —
44.1% 2.27 —
26.7% 3.74 —
36.3% 2.75 —
46.3% 2.16 —
55.9% 1.79 —

Home corners

80.1% 1.25 —
67.3% 1.49 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Away corners

70.4% 1.42 —
54.5% 1.84 —
39.6% 2.52 —

Cards

66.7% 1.5 —
47.5% 2.11 —
31.1% 3.22 —
18.4% 5.42 —
52.5% 1.9 —
68.9% 1.45 —
81.6% 1.23 —

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