Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-08
Birmingham – Watford
Home
57%
1.77 fair
Draw
24%
4.1 fair
Away
19%
5.25 fair
Expected Goals2.48
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.8%
→
56.5%
+8.8 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
24.4%
-2.8 pp
Away
25.0%
→
19.1%
-6.0 pp
Over 2.5
41.3%
→
45.2%
+3.9 pp
Both teams to score
45.4%
→
45.7%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.35 →
2.48
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.62 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.95 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Total goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — |
Both to score
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — |
Cards
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds