Fixtures / Championship / 2026-12-08
Swansea – Bolton
Home
57%
1.76 fair
Draw
22%
4.56 fair
Away
21%
4.69 fair
Expected Goals3.11
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.1%
→
56.7%
+1.6 pp
Draw
22.0%
→
21.9%
-0.0 pp
Away
22.9%
→
21.3%
-1.5 pp
Over 2.5
59.6%
→
60.0%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
59.1%
→
58.9%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.09 →
3.11
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.7 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.06 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.66 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Both to score
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
Cards
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds