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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-22

Sp Gijon – Las Palmas

Home 40% 2.51 fair
Draw 27% 3.74 fair
Away 33% 3.0 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.5% → 39.9% +3.4 pp
Draw 28.9% → 26.8% -2.1 pp
Away 34.6% → 33.3% -1.2 pp
Over 2.5 39.8% → 45.6% +5.8 pp
Both teams to score 46.3% → 50.6% +4.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.28 → 2.49 +0.21
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.0 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.96 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.9% 2.51 —
26.8% 3.74 —
33.3% 3.0 —
66.7% 1.5 —
60.1% 1.66 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Half-time result

27.2% 3.67 —
44.5% 2.25 —
28.2% 3.54 —

Half-time double chance

71.8% 1.39 —
72.8% 1.37 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Both halves

9.7% 10.29 —

HT/FT

21.3% 4.69 —
4.3% 22.99 —
16.0% 6.26 —
16.8% 5.97 —
11.8% 8.48 —
5.6% 17.73 —
20.0% 5.01 —

HT/FT double chance

58.4% 1.71 —
50.6% 1.98 —
34.5% 2.9 —
33.9% 2.95 —
45.5% 2.2 —
31.6% 3.17 —
41.0% 2.44 —
50.4% 1.99 —
54.2% 1.85 —

Total goals

91.6% 1.09 —
71.3% 1.4 —
45.6% 2.19 —
24.0% 4.17 —
28.7% 3.48 —
54.4% 1.84 —
76.0% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

65.8% 1.52 —
29.1% 3.43 —

Home team goals

73.1% 1.37 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Away team goals

69.2% 1.44 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Both to score

50.6% 1.97 —

Corners

63.8% 1.57 —
52.4% 1.91 —
40.9% 2.44 —
30.9% 3.24 —
22.5% 4.44 —
47.6% 2.1 —
59.1% 1.69 —
69.1% 1.45 —
77.5% 1.29 —

Home corners

66.0% 1.51 —
49.8% 2.01 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Away corners

58.1% 1.72 —
40.9% 2.44 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Cards

83.3% 1.2 —
69.0% 1.45 —
52.6% 1.9 —
37.8% 2.65 —
31.0% 3.22 —
47.4% 2.11 —
62.2% 1.61 —

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