Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-22
Santander – Sociedad
Home
28%
3.54 fair
Draw
19%
5.17 fair
Away
52%
1.91 fair
Expected Goals4.16
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score75%
Over 2.579%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.2%
→
28.3%
-3.9 pp
Draw
19.2%
→
19.3%
+0.1 pp
Away
48.6%
→
52.4%
+3.8 pp
Over 2.5
80.8%
→
78.6%
-2.2 pp
Both teams to score
77.9%
→
75.3%
-2.6 pp
Expected Goals
4.35 →
4.16
-0.19
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — |
Both halves
| 7.2% | 13.91 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.1% | 5.51 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.09 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.37 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.17 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.26 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.5 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.86 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 90.9% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
Both to score
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Corners
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
Home corners
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — |
Away corners
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Cards
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds