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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-22

Getafe – Ath Madrid

Home 21% 4.75 fair
Draw 29% 3.41 fair
Away 50% 2.02 fair
Expected Goals1.99
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.532%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 22.8% → 21.0% -1.8 pp
Draw 30.3% → 29.4% -1.0 pp
Away 46.9% → 49.6% +2.7 pp
Over 2.5 31.7% → 32.1% +0.4 pp
Both teams to score 37.6% → 36.9% -0.7 pp
Expected Goals 1.97 → 1.99 +0.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.8 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

21.0% 4.75 —
29.4% 3.41 —
49.6% 2.02 —
50.4% 1.98 —
79.0% 1.27 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Half-time result

15.6% 6.42 —
51.2% 1.95 —
33.3% 3.01 —

Half-time double chance

66.7% 1.5 —
84.4% 1.18 —
48.8% 2.05 —

HT/FT

10.1% 9.92 —
3.8% 26.25 —
9.9% 10.07 —
21.3% 4.69 —
19.9% 5.02 —
4.2% 23.64 —
28.0% 3.57 —

HT/FT double chance

45.1% 2.21 —
41.6% 2.4 —
46.7% 2.14 —
19.1% 5.22 —
40.8% 2.45 —
37.7% 2.65 —
36.5% 2.74 —
58.9% 1.7 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Total goals

86.4% 1.16 —
59.1% 1.69 —
32.1% 3.12 —
14.3% 7.01 —
40.9% 2.44 —
67.9% 1.47 —
85.7% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

55.8% 1.79 —
19.8% 5.06 —

Home team goals

51.2% 1.95 —
16.3% 6.12 —

Away team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Both to score

36.9% 2.71 —

Corners

61.6% 1.62 —
49.8% 2.01 —
38.7% 2.58 —
29.0% 3.45 —
20.9% 4.78 —
50.2% 1.99 —
61.3% 1.63 —
71.0% 1.41 —
79.0% 1.27 —

Home corners

55.1% 1.82 —
38.2% 2.62 —
24.5% 4.09 —

Away corners

64.5% 1.55 —
49.0% 2.04 —
34.3% 2.92 —

Cards

84.8% 1.18 —
71.9% 1.39 —
57.5% 1.74 —
43.6% 2.29 —
28.1% 3.56 —
42.5% 2.36 —
56.4% 1.77 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds