Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-22
Barcelona – Villarreal
Home
75%
1.34 fair
Draw
14%
7.26 fair
Away
11%
8.77 fair
Expected Goals4.21
Most Likely Score3-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.579%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
74.4%
→
74.8%
+0.4 pp
Draw
13.7%
→
13.8%
+0.1 pp
Away
11.9%
→
11.4%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
79.4%
→
79.0%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
66.4%
→
65.4%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
4.23 →
4.21
-0.02
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
3-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.26 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.77 | — | |||
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — |
Half-time result
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Both halves
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
HT/FT
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.86 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.65 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.21 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
Home team goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — |
Both to score
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Away corners
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — |
Cards
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds