Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-22
Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar
Home
26%
3.86 fair
Draw
24%
4.17 fair
Away
50%
2.0 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.8%
→
25.9%
+1.1 pp
Draw
24.2%
→
24.0%
-0.2 pp
Away
51.0%
→
50.1%
-0.9 pp
Over 2.5
53.4%
→
56.3%
+2.9 pp
Both teams to score
55.2%
→
57.8%
+2.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.83 →
2.93
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 5.2% | 19.16 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.98 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.5 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.92 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.16 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.44 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Home corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — |
Away corners
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Cards
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds