Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-22
Ajax – Den Haag
Home
72%
1.39 fair
Draw
16%
6.26 fair
Away
12%
8.12 fair
Expected Goals3.64
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.570%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
82.0%
→
71.7%
-10.3 pp
Draw
11.2%
→
16.0%
+4.8 pp
Away
6.8%
→
12.3%
+5.5 pp
Over 2.5
75.9%
→
70.3%
-5.6 pp
Both teams to score
54.3%
→
59.1%
+4.9 pp
Expected Goals
4.0 →
3.64
-0.36
Most Likely Score
3-0
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.12 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Both halves
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — |
HT/FT
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.77 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.58 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.26 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.36 | — |
Total goals
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Both to score
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds