Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-22
Twente – Willem II
Home
87%
1.15 fair
Draw
9%
10.88 fair
Away
4%
24.51 fair
Expected Goals3.84
Most Likely Score3-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.574%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
79.5%
→
86.7%
+7.2 pp
Draw
13.5%
→
9.2%
-4.3 pp
Away
7.0%
→
4.1%
-2.9 pp
Over 2.5
62.6%
→
74.0%
+11.4 pp
Both teams to score
43.5%
→
44.2%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.25 →
3.84
+0.59
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
3-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.88 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.51 | — | |||
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.54 | — | |||
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — |
Half-time result
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
HT/FT
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.9 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 90.1% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.93 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.26 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.91 | — |
Total goals
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.64 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — |
Home team goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — |
Away team goals
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.82 | — |
Both to score
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Home corners
| 90.1% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Away corners
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.99 | — |
Cards
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.54 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds