Liverpool – Man United
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
21%
4.73 fair
Away
23%
4.35 fair
Expected Goals3.3
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.4%
→
55.9%
+4.4 pp
Draw
23.0%
→
21.1%
-1.9 pp
Away
25.5%
→
23.0%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
62.4%
→
63.8%
+1.4 pp
Both teams to score
62.7%
→
62.1%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.24 →
3.3
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 18.9% | 5.31 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.37 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.43 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.41 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.02 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Total goals
| 96.3% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Both to score
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Home corners
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Away corners
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — |
Cards
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds