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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-22

Hull – Brighton

Home 32% 3.11 fair
Draw 28% 3.52 fair
Away 39% 2.53 fair
Expected Goals2.27
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.5% → 32.1% -17.4 pp
Draw 26.1% → 28.4% +2.3 pp
Away 24.3% → 39.5% +15.1 pp
Over 2.5 42.6% → 39.6% -3.1 pp
Both teams to score 46.2% → 45.6% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.27 -0.11
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.25 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.1% 3.11 —
28.4% 3.52 —
39.5% 2.53 —
60.6% 1.65 —
67.9% 1.47 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Half-time result

32.1% 3.12 —
42.8% 2.34 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Half-time double chance

74.9% 1.34 —
67.9% 1.47 —
57.2% 1.75 —

Both halves

6.6% 15.22 —

HT/FT

22.7% 4.41 —
6.8% 14.62 —
8.6% 11.57 —
18.6% 5.37 —
15.6% 6.43 —
21.3% 4.68 —

HT/FT double chance

56.8% 1.76 —
49.4% 2.02 —
43.6% 2.3 —
33.3% 3.0 —
47.4% 2.11 —
33.7% 2.97 —
31.0% 3.22 —
46.3% 2.16 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Total goals

89.4% 1.12 —
66.0% 1.52 —
39.6% 2.53 —
19.7% 5.07 —
34.0% 2.94 —
60.5% 1.65 —
80.3% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

68.8% 1.45 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Home team goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Away team goals

69.8% 1.43 —
34.2% 2.93 —

Both to score

45.6% 2.19 —

Corners

72.5% 1.38 —
62.1% 1.61 —
51.4% 1.94 —
40.9% 2.45 —
30.9% 3.24 —
38.0% 2.64 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.1% 1.69 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Home corners

65.6% 1.52 —
49.5% 2.02 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away corners

70.3% 1.42 —
55.2% 1.81 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Cards

74.5% 1.34 —
57.5% 1.74 —
40.9% 2.44 —
27.4% 3.65 —
42.5% 2.35 —
59.1% 1.69 —
72.6% 1.38 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds