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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-06

Milan – Parma

Home 61% 1.63 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 15% 6.53 fair
Expected Goals2.47
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 61.2% → 61.2% +0.0 pp
Draw 23.5% → 23.5% +0.0 pp
Away 15.3% → 15.3% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 43.1% → 44.9% +1.8 pp
Both teams to score 41.2% → 42.9% +1.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.47 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.8 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.11 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.2% 1.63 —
23.5% 4.26 —
15.3% 6.53 —
84.7% 1.18 —
38.8% 2.58 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

41.3% 2.42 —
47.9% 2.09 —
10.7% 9.31 —

Half-time double chance

89.3% 1.12 —
58.7% 1.7 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Both halves

20.4% 4.9 —

HT/FT

35.8% 2.8 —
4.4% 22.57 —
23.6% 4.24 —
16.1% 6.21 —
8.3% 12.09 —
5.9% 16.92 —

HT/FT double chance

79.9% 1.25 —
68.7% 1.45 —
29.9% 3.34 —
45.0% 2.22 —
44.7% 2.24 —
14.4% 6.93 —
44.5% 2.25 —
39.6% 2.52 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Total goals

91.5% 1.09 —
71.0% 1.41 —
44.9% 2.23 —
23.6% 4.24 —
29.0% 3.45 —
55.1% 1.82 —
76.4% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

58.2% 1.72 —
22.1% 4.53 —

Home team goals

82.3% 1.22 —
52.2% 1.91 —

Away team goals

52.1% 1.92 —
16.6% 6.04 —

Both to score

42.9% 2.33 —

Corners

60.9% 1.64 —
49.2% 2.03 —
38.7% 2.58 —
29.6% 3.38 —
21.6% 4.64 —
50.8% 1.97 —
61.3% 1.63 —
70.4% 1.42 —
78.4% 1.28 —

Home corners

71.6% 1.4 —
56.9% 1.76 —
42.7% 2.34 —

Away corners

44.4% 2.25 —
28.4% 3.52 —
16.7% 5.98 —

Cards

73.5% 1.36 —
55.8% 1.79 —
38.9% 2.57 —
24.6% 4.06 —
44.2% 2.26 —
61.1% 1.64 —
75.4% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds