Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-06
Milan – Parma
Home
61%
1.63 fair
Draw
23%
4.26 fair
Away
15%
6.53 fair
Expected Goals2.47
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.2%
→
61.2%
+0.0 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
23.5%
+0.0 pp
Away
15.3%
→
15.3%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
43.1%
→
44.9%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
41.2%
→
42.9%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.41 →
2.47
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Both halves
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.57 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.09 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.92 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Total goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — |
Both to score
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Away corners
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — |
Cards
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds