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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-06

Lazio – Atalanta

Home 39% 2.55 fair
Draw 26% 3.82 fair
Away 35% 2.89 fair
Expected Goals2.61
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.6% → 39.2% +6.6 pp
Draw 27.8% → 26.2% -1.7 pp
Away 39.6% → 34.6% -4.9 pp
Over 2.5 42.4% → 48.1% +5.7 pp
Both teams to score 48.1% → 52.9% +4.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.37 → 2.61 +0.24
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.61
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.9 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.65 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.2% 2.55 —
26.2% 3.82 —
34.6% 2.89 —
65.3% 1.53 —
60.8% 1.65 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.32 —
41.9% 2.38 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Half-time double chance

72.1% 1.39 —
69.9% 1.43 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.12 —

HT/FT

23.3% 4.3 —
4.9% 20.37 —
13.8% 7.25 —
15.9% 6.28 —
12.2% 8.19 —
5.3% 18.87 —
20.5% 4.88 —

HT/FT double chance

57.9% 1.73 —
51.2% 1.95 —
35.0% 2.86 —
35.6% 2.81 —
47.9% 2.09 —
32.6% 3.06 —
37.2% 2.69 —
48.6% 2.06 —
53.9% 1.85 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.4% 1.36 —
48.1% 2.08 —
26.8% 3.73 —
26.6% 3.76 —
51.9% 1.93 —
73.2% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

69.9% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.97 —

Home team goals

74.1% 1.35 —
39.5% 2.53 —

Away team goals

71.5% 1.4 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Both to score

52.9% 1.89 —

Corners

62.2% 1.61 —
51.0% 1.96 —
40.2% 2.49 —
30.6% 3.26 —
22.2% 4.51 —
49.0% 2.04 —
59.8% 1.67 —
69.4% 1.44 —
77.8% 1.29 —

Home corners

60.9% 1.64 —
45.0% 2.22 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Away corners

59.5% 1.68 —
43.3% 2.31 —
29.7% 3.36 —

Cards

79.9% 1.25 —
64.2% 1.56 —
47.8% 2.09 —
32.9% 3.04 —
35.8% 2.8 —
52.2% 1.91 —
67.1% 1.49 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds