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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-06

Genoa – Torino

Home 39% 2.57 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 33% 3.06 fair
Expected Goals2.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.0% → 39.0% +1.0 pp
Draw 28.4% → 28.3% -0.1 pp
Away 33.7% → 32.7% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 40.4% → 40.3% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 46.7% → 46.2% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.28 → 2.29 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.38 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.06 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.0% 2.57 —
28.3% 3.53 —
32.7% 3.06 —
67.3% 1.49 —
61.1% 1.64 —
71.7% 1.39 —

Half-time result

29.1% 3.44 —
47.3% 2.11 —
23.6% 4.24 —

Half-time double chance

76.4% 1.31 —
70.9% 1.41 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Both halves

9.4% 10.59 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.52 —
5.2% 19.08 —
15.2% 6.6 —
18.4% 5.42 —
13.7% 7.28 —
4.6% 21.6 —
17.3% 5.78 —

HT/FT double chance

61.0% 1.64 —
52.7% 1.9 —
39.1% 2.56 —
33.7% 2.97 —
42.8% 2.34 —
28.9% 3.46 —
39.9% 2.51 —
47.9% 2.09 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Total goals

89.8% 1.11 —
66.4% 1.51 —
40.3% 2.48 —
20.2% 4.94 —
33.6% 2.97 —
59.7% 1.68 —
79.8% 1.25 —

1st-half goals

62.0% 1.61 —
24.8% 4.03 —

Home team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Away team goals

65.8% 1.52 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Both to score

46.2% 2.16 —

Corners

56.5% 1.77 —
44.8% 2.23 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.3% 3.95 —
18.0% 5.56 —
55.2% 1.81 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.7% 1.34 —
82.0% 1.22 —

Home corners

57.0% 1.75 —
40.5% 2.47 —
26.8% 3.74 —

Away corners

55.6% 1.8 —
39.8% 2.51 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Cards

73.0% 1.37 —
55.1% 1.82 —
37.9% 2.64 —
24.2% 4.13 —
44.9% 2.23 —
62.1% 1.61 —
75.8% 1.32 —

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