Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-06
Estrela – Gil Vicente
Home
30%
3.33 fair
Draw
27%
3.77 fair
Away
43%
2.3 fair
Expected Goals2.38
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.8%
→
30.0%
-2.8 pp
Draw
27.5%
→
26.6%
-1.0 pp
Away
39.7%
→
43.5%
+3.7 pp
Over 2.5
43.6%
→
42.9%
-0.7 pp
Both teams to score
49.2%
→
47.9%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.38
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 5.8% | 17.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.0% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.3 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Total goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Both to score
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Away corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.74 | — |
Cards
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds