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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-06

Girona – Valladolid

Home 66% 1.51 fair
Draw 21% 4.79 fair
Away 13% 7.66 fair
Expected Goals2.65
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 69.6% → 66.1% -3.5 pp
Draw 18.7% → 20.9% +2.2 pp
Away 11.7% → 13.1% +1.3 pp
Over 2.5 55.5% → 49.5% -6.0 pp
Both teams to score 46.4% → 43.8% -2.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 2.65 -0.23
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.28 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 6.55 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.1% 1.51 —
20.9% 4.79 —
13.1% 7.66 —
87.0% 1.15 —
33.9% 2.95 —
79.1% 1.26 —

Half-time result

63.3% 1.58 —
29.6% 3.38 —
7.1% 14.12 —

Half-time double chance

92.9% 1.08 —
36.7% 2.73 —
70.4% 1.42 —

Both halves

21.9% 4.58 —

HT/FT

55.1% 1.81 —
6.5% 15.34 —
10.3% 9.69 —
12.6% 7.94 —
6.7% 14.99 —
4.7% 21.32 —

HT/FT double chance

84.6% 1.18 —
73.8% 1.36 —
27.5% 3.64 —
64.0% 1.56 —
62.1% 1.61 —
14.7% 6.82 —
25.3% 3.95 —
22.3% 4.48 —
25.7% 3.89 —

Total goals

92.9% 1.08 —
74.4% 1.34 —
49.5% 2.02 —
27.5% 3.64 —
25.6% 3.9 —
50.5% 1.98 —
72.5% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

77.6% 1.29 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Home team goals

85.4% 1.17 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Away team goals

51.4% 1.95 —
16.4% 6.08 —

Both to score

43.8% 2.28 —

Corners

56.3% 1.78 —
44.3% 2.26 —
32.9% 3.04 —
23.5% 4.26 —
16.2% 6.17 —
55.7% 1.8 —
67.1% 1.49 —
76.5% 1.31 —
83.8% 1.19 —

Home corners

55.6% 1.8 —
38.6% 2.59 —
24.5% 4.08 —

Away corners

57.3% 1.75 —
39.8% 2.51 —
26.1% 3.84 —

Cards

92.6% 1.08 —
84.6% 1.18 —
73.3% 1.37 —
60.4% 1.66 —
15.4% 6.49 —
26.8% 3.74 —
39.6% 2.53 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds