Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-06
Castellon – Almeria
Home
49%
2.04 fair
Draw
22%
4.56 fair
Away
29%
3.45 fair
Expected Goals3.32
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.4%
→
49.0%
+0.7 pp
Draw
22.6%
→
21.9%
-0.7 pp
Away
29.0%
→
29.0%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
66.1%
→
64.2%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
66.2%
→
64.4%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.41 →
3.32
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.86 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.04 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.24 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — |
Total goals
| 96.6% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.5 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Both to score
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Away corners
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.02 | — |
Cards
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds