Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06
Villarreal – Sociedad
Home
58%
1.72 fair
Draw
20%
4.89 fair
Away
22%
4.64 fair
Expected Goals3.39
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
60.2%
→
58.0%
-2.2 pp
Draw
20.0%
→
20.4%
+0.5 pp
Away
19.8%
→
21.6%
+1.7 pp
Over 2.5
66.2%
→
65.7%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
62.7%
→
62.9%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.42 →
3.39
-0.03
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.77 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.44 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.97 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.75 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — |
Total goals
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
1st-half goals
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Both to score
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
Away corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Cards
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds