Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06
Sevilla – Malaga
Home
67%
1.5 fair
Draw
20%
4.91 fair
Away
13%
7.66 fair
Expected Goals2.68
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.2%
→
66.6%
+2.4 pp
Draw
24.6%
→
20.4%
-4.3 pp
Away
11.1%
→
13.1%
+1.9 pp
Over 2.5
32.8%
→
50.0%
+17.2 pp
Both teams to score
29.5%
→
44.0%
+14.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.02 →
2.68
+0.66
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — | |||
| 87.0% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.9% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
HT/FT
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.69 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.62 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.83 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.01 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.21 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.78 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Total goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Away team goals
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — |
Both to score
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Corners
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Away corners
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Cards
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds