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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06

Santander – La Coruna

Home 34% 2.94 fair
Draw 23% 4.33 fair
Away 43% 2.33 fair
Expected Goals3.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.0% → 34.1% +0.1 pp
Draw 19.6% → 23.1% +3.5 pp
Away 46.4% → 42.9% -3.6 pp
Over 2.5 81.4% → 65.3% -16.1 pp
Both teams to score 78.9% → 66.0% -12.8 pp
Expected Goals 4.41 → 3.36 -1.05
Most Likely Score 2-2 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.06 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.42 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.1% 2.94 —
23.1% 4.33 —
42.9% 2.33 —
57.1% 1.75 —
65.9% 1.52 —
76.9% 1.3 —

Half-time result

39.5% 2.53 —
33.0% 3.03 —
27.5% 3.64 —

Half-time double chance

72.5% 1.38 —
60.5% 1.65 —
67.0% 1.49 —

Both halves

8.3% 12.06 —

HT/FT

26.5% 3.77 —
8.2% 12.17 —
4.8% 20.92 —
6.6% 15.17 —
11.5% 8.67 —
14.9% 6.72 —
3.3% 30.21 —
23.2% 4.31 —

HT/FT double chance

52.9% 1.89 —
52.8% 1.89 —
39.4% 2.54 —
39.0% 2.56 —
55.4% 1.8 —
39.5% 2.53 —
22.4% 4.46 —
45.6% 2.19 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Total goals

96.4% 1.04 —
85.0% 1.18 —
65.3% 1.53 —
43.1% 2.32 —
15.0% 6.68 —
34.7% 2.88 —
56.9% 1.76 —

1st-half goals

83.2% 1.2 —
53.9% 1.85 —

Home team goals

79.4% 1.26 —
46.8% 2.14 —

Away team goals

83.1% 1.2 —
53.1% 1.88 —

Both to score

66.0% 1.51 —

Corners

80.7% 1.24 —
72.0% 1.39 —
62.1% 1.61 —
51.9% 1.93 —
42.3% 2.36 —
28.0% 3.57 —
37.9% 2.64 —
48.1% 2.08 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
60.2% 1.66 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Away corners

74.9% 1.34 —
60.8% 1.65 —
46.2% 2.17 —

Cards

84.3% 1.19 —
71.6% 1.4 —
57.6% 1.73 —
43.8% 2.28 —
28.4% 3.52 —
42.4% 2.36 —
56.2% 1.78 —

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