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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06

Osasuna – Elche

Home 43% 2.3 fair
Draw 26% 3.88 fair
Away 31% 3.25 fair
Expected Goals2.65
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.6% → 43.5% -2.2 pp
Draw 24.7% → 25.8% +1.1 pp
Away 29.7% → 30.8% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 53.3% → 49.5% -3.8 pp
Both teams to score 55.8% → 53.7% -2.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.81 → 2.65 -0.16
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.51 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.5% 2.3 —
25.8% 3.88 —
30.8% 3.25 —
69.2% 1.44 —
56.5% 1.77 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

36.9% 2.71 —
45.3% 2.21 —
17.8% 5.61 —

Half-time double chance

82.2% 1.22 —
63.1% 1.59 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Both halves

11.8% 8.47 —

HT/FT

27.4% 3.65 —
6.5% 15.5 —
3.1% 32.47 —
14.4% 6.93 —
15.7% 6.37 —
15.1% 6.61 —
3.6% 27.78 —
12.6% 7.94 —

HT/FT double chance

64.0% 1.56 —
60.0% 1.67 —
40.4% 2.48 —
39.1% 2.56 —
44.7% 2.24 —
25.7% 3.89 —
35.4% 2.83 —
43.8% 2.28 —
47.0% 2.13 —

Total goals

92.9% 1.08 —
74.1% 1.35 —
49.5% 2.02 —
27.5% 3.64 —
25.9% 3.86 —
50.5% 1.98 —
72.5% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

64.0% 1.56 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Home team goals

76.6% 1.31 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Away team goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Both to score

53.7% 1.86 —

Corners

58.6% 1.71 —
46.8% 2.14 —
35.5% 2.81 —
26.0% 3.84 —
18.6% 5.39 —
53.2% 1.88 —
64.5% 1.55 —
74.0% 1.35 —
81.4% 1.23 —

Home corners

62.5% 1.6 —
45.8% 2.18 —
30.9% 3.23 —

Away corners

53.4% 1.87 —
36.6% 2.74 —
23.3% 4.3 —

Cards

81.0% 1.23 —
66.4% 1.51 —
51.2% 1.95 —
37.7% 2.65 —
33.6% 2.98 —
48.8% 2.05 —
62.3% 1.6 —

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