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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06

Getafe – Valencia

Home 39% 2.6 fair
Draw 33% 3.01 fair
Away 28% 3.54 fair
Expected Goals1.79
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score35%
Over 2.526%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.2% → 38.5% -0.7 pp
Draw 33.4% → 33.2% -0.2 pp
Away 27.3% → 28.3% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 26.0% → 26.5% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 34.0% → 35.0% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 1.76 → 1.79 +0.03
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.69 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 6.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.5% 2.6 —
33.2% 3.01 —
28.3% 3.54 —
71.7% 1.39 —
61.5% 1.63 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Half-time result

23.5% 4.26 —
57.6% 1.74 —
19.0% 5.27 —

Half-time double chance

81.0% 1.23 —
76.5% 1.31 —
42.4% 2.36 —

Both halves

7.6% 13.19 —

HT/FT

18.2% 5.5 —
4.1% 24.45 —
18.7% 5.34 —
24.9% 4.01 —
13.9% 7.19 —
4.2% 23.87 —
13.2% 7.59 —

HT/FT double chance

65.9% 1.52 —
52.0% 1.92 —
44.1% 2.27 —
28.1% 3.56 —
34.1% 2.93 —
22.6% 4.42 —
49.5% 2.02 —
47.4% 2.11 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Total goals

83.4% 1.2 —
53.4% 1.87 —
26.5% 3.78 —
10.6% 9.4 —
46.6% 2.14 —
73.5% 1.36 —
89.4% 1.12 —

1st-half goals

47.4% 2.11 —
12.8% 7.79 —

Home team goals

63.2% 1.58 —
25.7% 3.9 —

Away team goals

55.2% 1.81 —
19.0% 5.27 —

Both to score

35.0% 2.85 —

Corners

60.5% 1.65 —
48.7% 2.05 —
37.7% 2.66 —
27.8% 3.6 —
20.0% 5.0 —
51.3% 1.95 —
62.3% 1.6 —
72.2% 1.38 —
80.0% 1.25 —

Home corners

65.0% 1.54 —
48.1% 2.08 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Away corners

53.6% 1.87 —
36.6% 2.73 —
23.2% 4.3 —

Cards

88.1% 1.13 —
77.8% 1.28 —
64.7% 1.55 —
51.2% 1.95 —
22.1% 4.51 —
35.3% 2.83 —
48.8% 2.05 —

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