Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06
Barcelona – Celta
Home
80%
1.24 fair
Draw
12%
8.15 fair
Away
7%
13.61 fair
Expected Goals3.77
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.573%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
78.8%
→
80.4%
+1.6 pp
Draw
12.8%
→
12.3%
-0.6 pp
Away
8.3%
→
7.3%
-1.0 pp
Over 2.5
72.2%
→
72.6%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
54.5%
→
53.3%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.78 →
3.77
-0.01
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.15 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.61 | — | |||
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — |
Half-time result
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Both halves
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.89 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.81 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.95 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.0 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.94 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — |
Total goals
| 88.9% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
1st-half goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — |
Both to score
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Away corners
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.49 | — |
Cards
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds