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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06

Ath Madrid – Betis

Home 58% 1.74 fair
Draw 22% 4.52 fair
Away 20% 4.92 fair
Expected Goals2.85
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.4% → 57.6% +1.2 pp
Draw 22.8% → 22.1% -0.7 pp
Away 20.8% → 20.3% -0.5 pp
Over 2.5 53.8% → 54.2% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 52.9% → 53.1% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.84 → 2.85 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.23 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.36 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.6% 1.74 —
22.1% 4.52 —
20.3% 4.92 —
79.7% 1.25 —
42.4% 2.36 —
77.9% 1.28 —

Half-time result

43.2% 2.31 —
38.2% 2.62 —
18.6% 5.36 —

Half-time double chance

81.3% 1.23 —
56.8% 1.76 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Both halves

19.6% 5.11 —

HT/FT

37.5% 2.67 —
4.5% 22.47 —
17.3% 5.78 —
13.1% 7.63 —
7.7% 12.92 —
4.5% 22.03 —
11.3% 8.83 —

HT/FT double chance

72.4% 1.38 —
63.8% 1.57 —
26.6% 3.77 —
49.3% 2.03 —
52.8% 1.89 —
21.6% 4.64 —
37.8% 2.65 —
39.1% 2.55 —
36.7% 2.72 —

Total goals

94.1% 1.06 —
77.6% 1.29 —
54.2% 1.85 —
31.8% 3.15 —
22.4% 4.47 —
45.8% 2.18 —
68.2% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

73.4% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Home team goals

84.1% 1.19 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Away team goals

63.0% 1.59 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Both to score

53.1% 1.88 —

Corners

74.3% 1.35 —
64.4% 1.55 —
54.1% 1.85 —
43.7% 2.29 —
34.4% 2.91 —
35.6% 2.81 —
45.9% 2.18 —
56.3% 1.77 —
65.6% 1.52 —

Home corners

81.9% 1.22 —
69.7% 1.43 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Away corners

51.8% 1.93 —
35.1% 2.85 —
21.8% 4.59 —

Cards

74.3% 1.35 —
58.4% 1.71 —
42.6% 2.35 —
29.1% 3.43 —
41.6% 2.4 —
57.4% 1.74 —
70.9% 1.41 —

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