Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06
Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid
Home
23%
4.3 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
52%
1.93 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.0%
→
23.3%
-1.7 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
24.8%
-0.6 pp
Away
49.6%
→
51.9%
+2.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.7%
→
47.8%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
51.8%
→
50.0%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.62 →
2.58
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.3% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.74 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.34 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.65 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Both to score
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — |
Away corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Cards
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds