Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-06
Alaves – Espanol
Home
43%
2.31 fair
Draw
28%
3.54 fair
Away
29%
3.51 fair
Expected Goals2.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.7%
→
43.2%
-2.4 pp
Draw
26.6%
→
28.2%
+1.7 pp
Away
27.8%
→
28.5%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
42.9%
→
39.9%
-3.1 pp
Both teams to score
48.0%
→
45.8%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.4 →
2.29
-0.11
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Both halves
| 10.4% | 9.62 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.26 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Both to score
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — |
Cards
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds