Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-06
Den Haag – Excelsior
Home
48%
2.09 fair
Draw
22%
4.47 fair
Away
30%
3.35 fair
Expected Goals3.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.8%
→
47.8%
+22.0 pp
Draw
22.7%
→
22.4%
-0.4 pp
Away
51.5%
→
29.9%
-21.6 pp
Over 2.5
60.7%
→
63.1%
+2.4 pp
Both teams to score
60.8%
→
63.3%
+2.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.14 →
3.26
+0.12
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.82 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.3% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.82 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.26 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.07 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.12 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Both to score
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — |
Away corners
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — |
Cards
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds