Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-12-06
Ajax – Utrecht
Home
61%
1.65 fair
Draw
20%
5.06 fair
Away
20%
5.11 fair
Expected Goals3.41
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
59.3%
→
60.7%
+1.4 pp
Draw
20.2%
→
19.8%
-0.5 pp
Away
20.5%
→
19.6%
-0.9 pp
Over 2.5
65.0%
→
66.1%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
61.8%
→
62.3%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.35 →
3.41
+0.06
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.83 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — |
Both halves
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.63 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.16 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.97 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.33 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Both to score
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — |
Cards
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds